Mechelen 1-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
14%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.2
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
12%
6.22
X/2
13%
5.32
X/X
7%
4.73
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
1.62/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.61
+32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.7 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.46 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
390 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 2-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
26.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.02.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
07.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-3 HT 1-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-0
AWAY Anderlecht
1.13 xG 1.26
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
203 Passes 338
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen edged past Anderlecht 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mechelen had 40% of the ball to Anderlecht's 60%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.13 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mechelen and 2.83 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Mechelen 1-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 34%, draw 22%, Anderlecht 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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