St. Truidense 0-4 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 7 Jan 2025

St. Truidense
0-4 HT 0-1
Genk
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Cup – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.85
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.53
X/2
13%
5.14
X/X
11%
5.36
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.05
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 46%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.70/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.74
-48% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +116%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

St. Truidense vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Genk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 413
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
20.10.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 3-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.01.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
24.09.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 0-3 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
05.03.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.09.2022 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk swept aside St. Truidense 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Genk found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Truidense and 1.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Genk?

St. Truidense 0-4 Genk in the Belgium - Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 37%, draw 24%, Genk 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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