Club Brugge 3-0 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 7 Jan 2025

Club Brugge
3-0 HT 1-0
OH Leuven
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Cup – 2024/2025

Club Brugge vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
20.3
X/1
16%
3.53
X/2
8%
15.85
X/X
8%
6.97
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
11%
12.55
2/X
8%
20.9
Value flag · 1/X at 20.3 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.52/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/3.42
+33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
30.2 Crosses 13.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Club Brugge vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
5W-1D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.32 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
414 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
10.03.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
26.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.12.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
14.08.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
23.12.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEK

Club Brugge 3-0 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
3-0
AWAY OH Leuven
2.74 xG 1.13
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
546 Passes 297
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
46 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over OH Leuven 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Club Brugge had 63% of the ball to OH Leuven's 37%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.74 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Club Brugge and 0.50 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs OH Leuven?

Club Brugge 3-0 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 51%, draw 25%, OH Leuven 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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