St. Truidense 2-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.73
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
12%
8.68
X/2
14%
5.23
X/X
9%
6.17
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.81
2/X
10%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.41/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.35
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
17.9 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Genk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Genk Genk 3-2 HT 3-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
28.01.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
24.09.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 0-3 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
05.03.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
03.09.2022 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
13.03.2022 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense and Genk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Truidense and 1.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Genk?

St. Truidense 2-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 35%, draw 25%, Genk 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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