Beerschot VA 3-2 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Dec 2024

Beerschot VA
3-2 HT 0-2
Cercle Brugge
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs Cercle Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.56
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1
7%
9.24
X/2
15%
4.98
X/X
11%
5.6
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.73
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Cercle Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.17/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.41
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
15.7 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Beerschot VA vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.79 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
231 Passes 319
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 3-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
09.11.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEK
19.02.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.07.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.04.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
13.01.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA nicked a narrow win over Cercle Brugge 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Beerschot VA and 2.17 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Cercle Brugge?

Beerschot VA 3-2 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 28%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5
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