Westerlo 2-2 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.37
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
8%
5.9
X/2
6%
7.22
X/X
15%
6.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.47
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.62/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.52
+2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.3 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gent
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.34 xG 2.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Gent Gent 4-1 HT 3-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
27.04.2024 Gent Gent 3-2 HT 2-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
27.01.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
27.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-2
AWAY Gent
2.65 xG 2.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
277 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 28
30 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and Gent couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 51% of the ball to Gent's 49%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.65 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 3.00 for Gent.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Gent?

Westerlo 2-2 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 44%, draw 31%, Gent 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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