Horsholm-Usserod 0-1 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
3.87
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
23%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
60%
Away Win
56%
+3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 60%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.48/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.02/0.62
+119% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +73%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Horsholm-Usserod
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nykobing
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
15.11.2025 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 0-1 Horsholm-Usserod DAN3
02.08.2025 Horsholm-Usserod 0-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN3
POST-MATCH Horsholm-Usserod vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing nicked a narrow win over Horsholm-Usserod 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nykobing as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nykobing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Horsholm-Usserod and 2.00 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Horsholm-Usserod vs Nykobing?

Horsholm-Usserod 0-1 Nykobing in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsholm-Usserod vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nykobing win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Horsholm-Usserod 16%, draw 25%, Nykobing 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nykobing) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nykobing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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