Nykobing 2-1 Horsholm-Usserod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+3.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.7pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.5pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.22/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.53
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.08.2025 Horsholm-Usserod 0-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
2-1
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Horsholm-Usserod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing nicked a narrow win over Horsholm-Usserod 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nykobing as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nykobing had 49% of the ball to Horsholm-Usserod's 51%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Nykobing 2-1 Horsholm-Usserod in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nykobing win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 65%, draw 18%, Horsholm-Usserod 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nykobing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nykobing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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