Vejgaard BK 3-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
60%
Away Win
54%
+5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
0.67/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.00
-44% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -51%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejgaard BK
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Holbaek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
11.10.2025 Holbaek Holbaek 2-2 HT 1-2 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
21.10.2023 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 2-2 HT 0-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
30.09.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
20.06.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-2 HT 1-1 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Vejgaard BK vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejgaard BK saw off Holbaek 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holbaek at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holbaek led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vejgaard BK and 2.25 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Vejgaard BK vs Holbaek?

Vejgaard BK 3-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejgaard BK vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vejgaard BK 18%, draw 22%, Holbaek 60%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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