Holbaek 2-2 Vejgaard BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.31/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.00
+31% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +81%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Vejgaard BK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
21.10.2023 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 2-2 HT 0-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
30.09.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN3
20.06.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-2 HT 1-1 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Vejgaard BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek and Vejgaard BK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holbaek at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holbaek had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Holbaek and 1.33 for Vejgaard BK.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Vejgaard BK?

Holbaek 2-2 Vejgaard BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Vejgaard BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 58%, draw 22%, Vejgaard BK 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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