Horsholm-Usserod 4-3 Sundby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sundby EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Horsholm-Usserod vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsholm-Usserod squeezed past Sundby 4-3. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Horsholm-Usserod as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Horsholm-Usserod vs Sundby?

Horsholm-Usserod 4-3 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsholm-Usserod vs Sundby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Horsholm-Usserod win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Horsholm-Usserod 43%, draw 27%, Sundby 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horsholm-Usserod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Horsholm-Usserod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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