Lyseng 2-1 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyseng EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 60%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.03/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.70
-12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +46%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
181 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyseng
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Naesby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
15.09.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
04.11.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
16.09.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-2 HT 2-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
10.04.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
20.08.2022 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
POST-MATCH Lyseng vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyseng nicked a narrow win over Naesby 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Naesby at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lyseng and 1.17 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Lyseng vs Naesby?

Lyseng 2-1 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 22%, draw 19%, Naesby 59%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Naesby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5
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