Red Star FC 93 vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Red Star FC 93 v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Red Star FC 93 vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Red Star FC 93 4-3 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Red Star FC 93 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Bastia 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 7-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 61% of the ball to Bastia's 39%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.86 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.80 for Bastia.
Red Star FC 93 vs Bastia Result & Final Score
Red Star FC 93 4 - 3 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Red Star FC 93 vs Bastia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 50%, draw 29%, Bastia 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.