Bastia vs Red Star FC 93 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Red Star FC 93 — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Red Star FC 93 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Red Star FC 93
FR3
3-5
HT 1-2
Bastia
FR3
Bastia 1-0 Red Star FC 93 — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Red Star FC 93 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Bastia had 57% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 43%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.12 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bastia's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bastia and 1.33 for Red Star FC 93.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Red Star FC 93?
Bastia 1-0 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Red Star FC 93?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bastia 44%, draw 28%, Red Star FC 93 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.