Paris FC 1-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.48
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.27
X/2
10%
8.54
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
7.24
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.52
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.0 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Troyes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
381 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2024 Troyes Troyes 0-3 HT 0-2 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
13.04.2024 Troyes Troyes 1-2 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
28.10.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
10.04.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
05.12.2020 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 2-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
06.03.2020 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
1-0
AWAY Troyes
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Troyes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paris FC had 59% of the ball to Troyes's 41%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paris FC and 1.17 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Troyes?

Paris FC 1-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 45%, draw 25%, Troyes 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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