Troyes 0-3 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 21 Oct 2024

Troyes
0-3 HT 0-2
Paris FC
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Troyes vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.51
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
9%
8.42
X/2
22%
4.13
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.41
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.18/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.29
+38% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
14.7 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Troyes vs Paris FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paris FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Troyes Troyes 1-2 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
28.10.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
10.04.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
05.12.2020 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 2-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
06.03.2020 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
04.10.2019 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2

Troyes 0-3 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
0-3
AWAY Paris FC
0.76 xG 2.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
326 Passes 560
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC cruised past Troyes 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Troyes had 38% of the ball to Paris FC's 62%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.76 to 2.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Troyes and 1.33 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Paris FC?

Troyes 0-3 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Troyes 28%, draw 26%, Paris FC 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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