Troyes 1-2 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.7
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
11%
6.36
X/2
14%
5.0
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.33
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.27/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.07
+53% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
14.2 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paris FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
10.04.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
05.12.2020 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 2-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
06.03.2020 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
04.10.2019 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
08.02.2019 Troyes Troyes 0-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
1-2
AWAY Paris FC
1.59 xG 1.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
237 Passes 462
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Troyes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Troyes had 37% of the ball to Paris FC's 63%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.59 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Troyes and 1.17 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Paris FC?

Troyes 1-2 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Troyes 29%, draw 25%, Paris FC 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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