Quevilly vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Quevilly v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals
Quevilly vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-2
Quevilly
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Quevilly
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
FR2
4-1
HT 2-1
Auxerre
FR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Quevilly
FR2
Quevilly 4-3 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics
Quevilly squeezed past Auxerre 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Auxerre at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Quevilly had 41% of the ball to Auxerre's 59%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.85 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Auxerre led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Quevilly and 1.40 for Auxerre.
What was the final score of Quevilly vs Auxerre?
Quevilly 4-3 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Auxerre?
Before kick-off our model rated an Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 33%, draw 25%, Auxerre 43%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.