Bordeaux vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bordeaux v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Bordeaux vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Bordeaux
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Bastia
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Bordeaux
FR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Bordeaux
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR1
Bordeaux 2-3 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Bordeaux 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Bordeaux at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bordeaux had 77% of the ball to Bastia's 23%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.88 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bordeaux.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bordeaux had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bordeaux and 1.00 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Bordeaux vs Bastia?
Bordeaux 2-3 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bordeaux vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bordeaux win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bordeaux 46%, draw 27%, Bastia 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.