Ajaccio 2-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Apr 2024

Ajaccio
2-0 HT 2-0
Saint-Etienne
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Ajaccio vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.76
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.67
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
13%
7.5
X/2
15%
4.02
X/X
16%
3.62
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.8
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajaccio v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.27/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.39
-1% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
14.3 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Ajaccio vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.40 xG 0.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
355 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
21.01.2016 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FRK
17.05.2014 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-1 HT 2-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
11.08.2013 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
24.04.2013 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 4-2 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
30.11.2012 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1

Ajaccio 2-0 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
2-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.53 xG 0.30
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
186 Passes 444
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio saw off Saint-Etienne 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Etienne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajaccio had 34% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 66%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.53 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ajaccio and 1.50 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Saint-Etienne?

Ajaccio 2-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 32%, draw 27%, Saint-Etienne 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Saint-Etienne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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