Dunkerque 0-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.04
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.21
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
13%
6.43
X/2
14%
4.57
X/X
17%
3.72
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.22
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
0.87/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.07
-29% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.9 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
298 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
07.05.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-3 HT 0-3 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
21.12.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
05.02.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
03.10.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
0-1
AWAY Guingamp
0.52 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
471 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp squeezed past Dunkerque 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dunkerque had 62% of the ball to Guingamp's 38%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.52 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Dunkerque and 1.00 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Guingamp?

Dunkerque 0-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 29%, draw 30%, Guingamp 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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