Rodez 1-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.3
X/1
13%
4.05
X/2
12%
11.8
X/X
11%
5.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.7
2/2
6%
9.54
2/X
5%
17.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 20%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.45/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.42
-50% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
36.9 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 373
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
09.03.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
16.12.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
18.03.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-3 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
01.10.2022 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
19.02.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez and Amiens SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rodez at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rodez and 1.33 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Amiens SC?

Rodez 1-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rodez 50%, draw 26%, Amiens SC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rodez), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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