Amiens SC 2-1 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.8
X/2
14%
6.22
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.09
-14% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.9 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rodez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
16.12.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
18.03.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-3 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
01.10.2022 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
19.02.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
11.09.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC edged past Rodez 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Amiens SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rodez led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amiens SC and 1.33 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Rodez?

Amiens SC 2-1 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 37%, draw 30%, Rodez 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amiens SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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