Bastia 2-2 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.86
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.4
X/2
11%
7.33
X/X
15%
3.84
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.93
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.5 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Annecy
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
303 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Annecy Annecy 3-2 HT 3-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
07.10.2023 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
15.04.2023 Bastia Bastia 3-0 HT 3-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
01.10.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-2 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
30.04.2021 Bastia Bastia 0-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR3
18.12.2020 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
2-2
AWAY Annecy
2.08 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
259 Passes 172
68% Pass Accuracy 58%
25 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia and Annecy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bastia had 56% of the ball to Annecy's 44%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bastia and 1.00 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Annecy?

Bastia 2-2 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bastia 36%, draw 30%, Annecy 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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