Annecy 3-2 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
13%
4.06
X/2
9%
8.21
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
6.64
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 26%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.36
-100% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
30.0 Crosses 14.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bastia
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.59 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
15.04.2023 Bastia Bastia 3-0 HT 3-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
01.10.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-2 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
30.04.2021 Bastia Bastia 0-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR3
18.12.2020 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
3-2
AWAY Bastia
1.12 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
190 Passes 235
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy squeezed past Bastia 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Annecy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Annecy had 46% of the ball to Bastia's 54%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.12 to 1.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bastia.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Annecy and 1.60 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Bastia?

Annecy 3-2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annecy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Annecy 43%, draw 27%, Bastia 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annecy), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annecy) ✓ BTTS Yes
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