Valenciennes 2-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.11
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
13%
7.41
X/2
14%
4.16
X/X
14%
4.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.73
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.07/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.12
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.1 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grenoble
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 3-3 HT 2-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
26.05.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
22.10.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
19.04.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 3-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
20.11.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
05.02.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
2-0
AWAY Grenoble
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes saw off Grenoble 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Grenoble at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Valenciennes had 52% of the ball to Grenoble's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valenciennes and 1.33 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Grenoble?

Valenciennes 2-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 29%, draw 28%, Grenoble 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grenoble) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grenoble) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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