Pau vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Pau vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Guingamp
FR2
4-0
HT 3-0
Pau
FR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Pau
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FR2
2-3
HT 0-2
Pau
FR2
Pau 1-2 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp squeezed past Pau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Guingamp made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pau had 65% of the ball to Guingamp's 35%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.49 to 2.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guingamp's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pau and 2.33 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Pau vs Guingamp?
Pau 1-2 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pau 32%, draw 32%, Guingamp 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.