Saint-Etienne vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saint-Etienne v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Saint-Etienne vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Saint-Etienne
FR2
2-2
HT 0-2
Saint-Etienne
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Caen
FR2
0-5
HT 0-3
Saint-Etienne
FR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Caen
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Caen
FR1
Saint-Etienne 1-0 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Saint-Etienne nicked a narrow win over Caen 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Saint-Etienne had 46% of the ball to Caen's 54%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.58 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Caen.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.00 for Caen.
What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Caen?
Saint-Etienne 1-0 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 46%, draw 26%, Caen 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.