Ajaccio 1-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Apr 2024

Ajaccio
1-1 HT 0-1
Quevilly
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Ajaccio vs Quevilly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.44
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
14%
5.42
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
16%
3.3
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.05
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajaccio v Quevilly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.19/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.93
-5% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +99%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.3 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ajaccio vs Quevilly Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
0.26 xG 0.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
321 Passes 299
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
15.03.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
02.10.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-1 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
09.03.2018 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
13.10.2017 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2

Ajaccio 1-1 Quevilly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
1-1
AWAY Quevilly
1.18 xG 0.94
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
503 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio and Quevilly couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ajaccio had 65% of the ball to Quevilly's 35%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Ajaccio and 0.20 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Quevilly?

Ajaccio 1-1 Quevilly in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 33%, draw 30%, Quevilly 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Quevilly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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