Paris FC 3-1 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
11%
4.79
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.46
+7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.9 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Angers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.35 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
420 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Angers Angers 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
3-1
AWAY Angers
2.80 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
404 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC got the better of Angers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 55% of the ball to Angers's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.80 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Angers?

Paris FC 3-1 Angers in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 43%, draw 30%, Angers 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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