Stade Lavallois 3-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
12%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.97
X/2
12%
5.89
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.45
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
-14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.9 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Pau
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.80 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
342 Passes 371
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Pau Pau 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
16.12.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
18.02.2023 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
10.09.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
18.10.2019 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
3-1
AWAY Pau
1.62 xG 0.89
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
181 Passes 424
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois beat Pau 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Stade Lavallois made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 35% of the ball to Pau's 65%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.62 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.20 for Pau.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Pau?

Stade Lavallois 3-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 40%, draw 26%, Pau 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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