Pau 3-0 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Apr 2024

Pau
3-0 HT 2-0
Stade Lavallois
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Pau vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
10%
6.24
X/X
15%
4.03
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
18%
4.76
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.63/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.30
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.5 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Pau vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
344 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
18.02.2023 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
10.09.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
18.10.2019 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR3

Pau 3-0 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
3-0
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.14 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
452 Passes 403
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau swept aside Stade Lavallois 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pau found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pau had 52% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.14 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pau and 0.50 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Pau vs Stade Lavallois?

Pau 3-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pau 38%, draw 28%, Stade Lavallois 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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