Rodez 2-0 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.96
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
8%
6.33
X/2
16%
5.43
X/X
16%
5.18
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.19
2/X
8%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.14/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.21
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
23.9 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Auxerre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.59
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
224 Passes 477
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 3-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
08.02.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 2-3 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FRK
05.03.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-3 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
21.09.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 1-0 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
27.02.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
31.10.2020 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 2-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Auxerre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez beat Auxerre 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Auxerre at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auxerre led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rodez and 1.83 for Auxerre.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Auxerre?

Rodez 2-0 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Auxerre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rodez 30%, draw 29%, Auxerre 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Auxerre), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auxerre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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