Annecy 0-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 33% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.72
X/2
9%
7.26
X/X
16%
4.4
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
5.27
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.58/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
-75% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.9 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Grenoble
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.81 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
258 Passes 343
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
11.03.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
27.08.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
17.07.2018 Grenoble Grenoble 5-0 HT 2-0 Annecy Annecy HAZ
11.11.2017 Annecy Annecy 1-3 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
0-1
AWAY Grenoble
1.28 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble edged past Annecy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Annecy at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Annecy had 55% of the ball to Grenoble's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.28 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Annecy and 2.20 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Grenoble?

Annecy 0-1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annecy win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Annecy 44%, draw 31%, Grenoble 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Annecy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Annecy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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