Angers 2-1 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
23%
4.11
X/2
8%
8.92
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
12%
6.93
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.43/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.61
-5% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
18.1 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Troyes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Troyes Troyes 1-4 HT 1-3 Angers Angers FR2
27.05.2023 Angers Angers 2-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR1
28.08.2022 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
23.01.2022 Angers Angers 2-1 HT 2-1 Troyes Troyes FR1
26.09.2021 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
17.01.2018 Angers Angers 3-1 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-1
AWAY Troyes
0.36 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Angers vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers nicked a narrow win over Troyes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Angers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angers had 50% of the ball to Troyes's 50%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.36 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Angers and 1.33 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Angers vs Troyes?

Angers 2-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Angers 49%, draw 25%, Troyes 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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