Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.92
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.65
X/1
21%
3.42
X/2
7%
12.05
X/X
8%
5.1
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
7%
10.65
2/X
7%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
2.40/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.12
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
21.7 Crosses 14.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.99 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
359 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2023 Lorient Lorient 3-0 HT 2-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
04.09.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
30.07.2022 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio HAZ
07.03.2020 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
04.10.2019 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
01.02.2019 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
3-0
AWAY Ajaccio
3.32 xG 0.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
31 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
417 Passes 171
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 5
35 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient swept aside Ajaccio 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Lorient had 67% of the ball to Ajaccio's 33%, shots finished 31-6, expected goals 3.32 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lorient and 0.33 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Ajaccio?

Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lorient 60%, draw 23%, Ajaccio 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
27 Sep 2024
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Pau Analysis →
21:00 Martigues vs Dunkerque Analysis →
21:00 Grenoble vs Clermont Analysis →
21:00 Bastia vs Annecy Analysis →
21:00 Amiens SC vs Rodez Analysis →