Grenoble 1-1 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.23
X/2
14%
5.2
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.44
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.11
-18% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
15.7 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
397 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.03.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
07.10.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 2-2 HT 2-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
02.06.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
13.01.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 2-4 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
15.01.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-1
AWAY Guingamp
0.79 xG 2.68
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 6
223 Passes 586
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 37
3 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble and Guingamp shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grenoble had 30% of the ball to Guingamp's 70%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.79 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grenoble and 1.50 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Guingamp?

Grenoble 1-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 30%, draw 29%, Guingamp 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
21 Feb 2025
22:00 Martigues vs Annecy Analysis →
22:00 Dunkerque vs Clermont Analysis →
22:00 Paris FC vs Troyes Analysis →
22:00 Bastia vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
22:00 Rodez vs Amiens SC Analysis →