Paju Citizen 1-3 Seoul E-Land — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Seoul E-Land EU Bookmakers 52%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.97
+87% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
12.0 Crosses 18.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paju Citizen
1-3
AWAY Seoul E-Land
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
195 Passes 372
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Seoul E-Land
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seoul E-Land beat Paju Citizen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Seoul E-Land as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paju Citizen had 39% of the ball to Seoul E-Land's 61%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Seoul E-Land?

Paju Citizen 1-3 Seoul E-Land in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Seoul E-Land?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seoul E-Land win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 25%, draw 29%, Seoul E-Land 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seoul E-Land) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seoul E-Land) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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