Hwaseong 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Apr 2026

Hwaseong
1-0 HT 1-0
Jeonnam Dragons
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 36% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Jeonnam Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.13/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.41
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
11.3 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
31.05.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 2-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
12.04.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2

Hwaseong 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-0
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
521 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong edged past Jeonnam Dragons 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hwaseong had 64% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 36%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hwaseong and 2.00 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Hwaseong 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 32%, draw 31%, Jeonnam Dragons 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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