Hwaseong 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 Apr 2025

Hwaseong
1-2 HT 0-1
Jeonnam Dragons
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.93
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Jeonnam Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.37
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
11.5 Crosses 18.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Hwaseong 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-2
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
393 Passes 363
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons squeezed past Hwaseong 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Jeonnam Dragons found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hwaseong had 56% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 44%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Hwaseong 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 30%, draw 30%, Jeonnam Dragons 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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