Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
0.91/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.78
+24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
12.6 Crosses 21.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
150 Passes 433
54% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 3-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.07.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 3-3 HT 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.09.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
02.07.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.05.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
331 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen and Asan Mugunghwa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 53% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 47%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.83 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 35%, draw 28%, Asan Mugunghwa 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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