Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.91/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.55
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses 8.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
388 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.05.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 2-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
12.04.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-2 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
1-2
AWAY Hwaseong
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
453 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonnam Dragons at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 63% of the ball to Hwaseong's 37%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.50 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong?

Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 51%, draw 26%, Hwaseong 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✓ BTTS Yes
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