Ansan Greeners 2-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.43
-17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
13.5 Crosses 15.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
389 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-2 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
20.04.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-3 HT 0-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.09.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-5 HT 0-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
27.05.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
27.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 2-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
19.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
2-3
AWAY Busan I Park
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
452 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park squeezed past Ansan Greeners 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 57% of the ball to Busan I Park's 43%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ansan Greeners and 2.00 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Ansan Greeners 2-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 25%, draw 25%, Busan I Park 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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