Ansan Greeners 1-0 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 58%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
14.4 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 2-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
19.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.09.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
18.07.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-0
AWAY Busan I Park
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
305 Passes 484
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners squeezed past Busan I Park 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Busan I Park at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 40% of the ball to Busan I Park's 60%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.17 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Ansan Greeners 1-0 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 19%, draw 24%, Busan I Park 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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