Ansan Greeners 1-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
10%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.43
-14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
13.8 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
415 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-5 HT 0-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
27.05.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
27.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 2-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
19.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-3
AWAY Busan I Park
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
426 Passes 261
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park beat Ansan Greeners 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 61% of the ball to Busan I Park's 39%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.83 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Ansan Greeners 1-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 24%, draw 25%, Busan I Park 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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