Gyeongnam FC 2-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.64
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
4.07
6+ Goals
11%
19.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.07 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.13/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.62
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +131%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
18.4 Crosses 21.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 334
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
11.08.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
19.05.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
02.12.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
26.11.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
405 Passes 167
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC nicked a narrow win over Gimpo Citizen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gyeongnam FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 65% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 35%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.33 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Gyeongnam FC 2-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 33%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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