Gimpo Citizen 2-2 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.91/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.40
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
14.4 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 0.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 385
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
02.12.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
26.11.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
11.03.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
13.09.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2-2
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen and Gyeongnam FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 42% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 58%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.67 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC?

Gimpo Citizen 2-2 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 36%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam FC 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
11 Aug 2024
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