Cheonan City 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 51%
-22% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.58/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.04
-52% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
23.09.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 1-2 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
27.05.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
02.04.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-3 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-0
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonnam Dragons at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 43% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 57%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheonan City and 1.75 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Cheonan City 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 27%, draw 27%, Jeonnam Dragons 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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