Gyeongnam FC 1-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.18/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.70
-9% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
18.6 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
19.05.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
02.12.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
26.11.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
11.03.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 334
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC and Gimpo Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimpo Citizen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 48% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 52%, shots finished 11-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.17 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Gyeongnam FC 1-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 27%, draw 31%, Gimpo Citizen 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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