Suwon Bluewings 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +37%
1.99/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.08
+42% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
9.0 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
423 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
31.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
18.10.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
29.08.2020 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
30.05.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
09.09.2015 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
400 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Suwon Bluewings 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Busan I Park found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 53% of the ball to Busan I Park's 47%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.83 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Suwon Bluewings 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 38%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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